Public Power Feasibility Studies: The Engineering Questions That Determine the Outcome
On November 3, Ann Arbor voters narrowly rejected a ballot measure that would have set the city on a path toward municipal ownership of its electric utility, by a margin of roughly three and a half points. This fall, the Detroit city council also directed staff to examine alternatives to its current provider, and other Michigan communities have advanced municipal utility feasibility studies of their own. Comparable discussions tend to arise wherever reliability concerns coincide with a rate increase.
Finley takes no position on whether a community should own its distribution system. Finley does hold a view on how the question should be evaluated, based on observing where these studies most often fall short.
The public debate centers almost entirely on valuation. The analysis more often proves inadequate on condition.
What the valuation discussion omits
The figure that dominates any municipalization discussion is the value of the assets and the cost of acquisition. That figure is contested by attorneys and financial advisors, and the range between opposing positions is typically wide enough to indicate that field verification has not been performed.
The figure that more often determines viability is different. It is the cost of bringing the system to the standard the community expects. Where the outages that prompted the discussion resulted from aging poles, deferred vegetation management, and a distribution system not designed for present loading, acquisition does not resolve those conditions. It transfers them, together with the capital program required to address them.
That figure is not a matter of opinion. It is developed from inspection records, pole testing, substation condition data, loading studies, and outage history organized by circuit and cause.
The questions a complete study must answer
What are the physical assets, where are they located, and what is their condition? This is a records and field exercise, and it is the element most frequently scoped too narrowly.
Where does the system separate? Each boundary requires metering, protection, and in many instances a new delivery point or substation. Separation engineering represents a substantial cost category and is often identified late in the process.
What is the power supply plan? A distribution utility without a wholesale strategy is incomplete. The analysis must address transmission service, scheduling, and allocation of market risk.
What rate levels result after debt service, the capital program, and operations? The relevant horizon is the first ten years of operation rather than the point of acquisition.
Who operates the system? Line crews, system operations, engineering, metering, billing, outage response, and mutual aid relationships all require a staffing and contracting plan.
A study that addresses these five questions thoroughly is valuable regardless of the conclusion it reaches. A study that addresses only the first portion of the first question does not support a decision of this magnitude.
Implications for existing municipal utilities
For communities that already operate a municipal utility, the current debate is a prompt rather than a threat. Councils that observe a neighboring community debating reliability will ask their own utility for comparable information.
That information should be prepared in advance. Reliability indices should be known by circuit and understood as trends. Cost per customer should be available against comparable systems. Substation condition and worst performing circuits should be documented, accompanied by a capital plan that identifies the remedies and their sequence. Municipal utilities that navigate these cycles successfully are generally those able to respond with specifics before the question becomes political.
Broader implications
Ownership structure is a decision for the community. The engineering facts underlying that decision are not subject to negotiation, and they are knowable. Establishing them first produces a decision that withstands scrutiny regardless of its direction.
How Finley supports this work
Finley has served municipalities and rural electric cooperatives since 1953. Finley performs feasibility studies and reports, distribution system planning, long range planning, rates and cost of service analysis, substation and line design, and project management. As an independent engineering firm, Finley holds no interest in the outcome of the analysis.
For communities whose councils have requested a study, and for utilities seeking their own data in advance of that request, a system condition and reliability assessment is the appropriate starting point. Call 800-225-9716.
Additional information on how Finley works with municipalities is available at finleyusa.com/energy.